Lugano vs Bodo/Glimt prediction 21.09.2023



0 : 0



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  • Competition: Europa Conference League
  • Date: Thursday, 21st September 2023
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano)

In recent years, Lugano have been among the top five teams in Switzerland. Last season, they failed to qualify for the Group phase in Europa as Hapoel Beer Sheva knocked them out in the third qualifying round. This season, they had a much easier path to the Group phase thanks to finishing 3rd in Super League last season. They lost their only duel in Europa League Qualifiers vs Royale Union SG and ended up in the Europa Conference League Group Phase. Currently, Lugano are in poor form, losing three of the last four matches, with their only win being against a lower-league team, Lancy, in the Cup. 

Bodo/Glimt have been Norway's best or second-best team in the past four years. Last season, they finished second, 18 points behind Molde, and this season, they once again look like one of the best teams. Right now, after 21 rounds, Bodo/Glimt are 2nd, just two points away from the 1st-placed Viking. Even though they are in 2nd place, they are considered by the bookies as clear-cut favorites to win the title with odds only around 1.7, which says a lot about this team.

Lugano vs Bodo/Glimt pick: Over 2.5 goals

Lugano are in bad form in the recent few games, losing three of the previous four matches. Still, at home, they are a very solid team, very capable of scoring a couple of goals. In three home games this season, they scored seven times, and last year, they scored 32 goals in 18 home league games - 1.8 per game. So, we do not think they should have no problems scoring against Norway's vice-champions, which likes to play attacking football.

Bodo/Glimt are the key for this bet. They are a very exciting team that mostly plays high-scoring games. In Eliteserien, they already scored 53 goals in 21 rounds and were 15 times over 2.5 goals - 71%. In the Europe Conference League Qualifiers, they were all six times over 2.5 goals so far, scoring 17 goals! They are a very offensively oriented team, and because of it, they often concede many goals. 

In the last five matches, even though they haven't lost, Bodo/Glimt allowed ten goals - two per game! On the road, their defense is having big problems keeping their net intact and, in the last eight matches, kept a clean sheet only once - vs Pynik. So, we expect a high-scoring game with goals on both sides. 

Lugano vs Bodo/Glimt Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lugano

    0 : 0


    Europa Conference League


Lugano team news

A starting left full-back, Milton Valenzuela, is ruled out with a tendon injury. He will most likely be out until early January 2024. Besides Valenzuela, the team could miss Adrian Durrer, Sebastian Osigawe, Hicham Mahou, and Noah De Queiroz, but they are mostly backup options.

Coach Mattia Croci-Torti spoke to the media after a 3:0 win in the Cup 1/16 Finals vs Lancy. He said it was a classic Cup game in which they could be in trouble if they didn't score on time. He noted that they made a lot of mistakes, and that is certainly something they have to change. 

The coach also spoke about their key striker, Zan Celar, who was linked with many clubs in the Summer transfer window. "For an attacker, it is always important to score. He was probably disturbed by too many transfer rumors regarding him."

Last matches of Lugano

  1. FC Winterthur

    2 : 3


    Super League

  2. Lugano

    2 : 1

    Lausanne Sport

    Super League

  3. Young Boys

    4 : 1


    Super League

  4. Lugano

    0 : 0


    Europa Conference League

  5. Lancy

    0 : 3


    Swiss Cup

Lugano lineup


  • 1

    Amir Saipi


  • 6

    Jhon Espinoza

  • 17

    Lars Lukas Mai

  • 4

    Kreshnik Hajrizi

  • 34

    Allan Arigoni


  • 25

    Uran Bislimi

  • 16

    Anto Grgić

  • 14

    Jonathan Sabbatini


  • 11

    Renato Steffen

  • 9

    Žan Celar

  • 10

    Mattia Bottani


Bodo/Glimt team news

Forward Nino Zugelj is ruled out with a thigh injury and will miss at least a few more games. However, he is only a backup option. Right attacking winger Sondre Sorli missed the previous two games vs Ham Kam and Rosenborg and will most likely miss the Lugano game. With him out, we could see 20-year-old Tobias Gulliksen in his place. 

A right full-back, Omar Elabdellaoui, is dealing with injury and, according to coach Kjetil Knutsen, is not registered for the Europa Conference League Group phase because they are not sure how long his recovery will take. 

The offensive duo Pellegrino-Moumbanga has been fantastic this season. So far, together, they have scored 40 goals and assisted on 18 goals. 

Last matches of Bodo/Glimt

  1. Bodo/Glimt

    2 : 0



  2. Valerenga

    2 : 4


    NM Cup

  3. Bodo/Glimt

    4 : 2



  4. Lugano

    0 : 0


    Europa Conference League

  5. Rosenborg

    1 : 1



Bodo/Glimt lineup


  • 12

    Nikita Haikin


  • 5

    Brice Wembangomo

  • 18

    Brede Moe

  • 2

    Marius Lode

  • 15

    Fredrik André Bjørkan


  • 14

    Ulrik Saltnes

  • 77

    Patrick Berg

  • 8

    Albert Grønbæk


  • 30

    Adam Sørensen

  • 11

    Runar Espejord

  • 7

    Amahl Pellegrino

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Lugano scored five goals in the previous two games
  2. Bodo/Glimt were all six times over 2.5 goals in Europa Conference League Qualifier games
  3. Bodo/Glimt averaged 4.4 goals per game during the last five matches

Main prediction Lugano - Bodo/Glimt

Over 2.5 goals



54% winrate


4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Additional predictions


Best odds:1.48

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:2.12

Over 3.5

Best odds:2.31

Lugano & Bodo/Glimt current standing in Europa Conference League

Group D P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
2 Beşiktaş 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
3 Bodø / Glimt 1 0 1 0 0 - 0 0 1
4 Lugano 1 0 1 0 0 - 0 0 1

Lugano vs Bodo/Glimt - FAQ


Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.


Who could be the goalscorer for Lugano?

Zan Celar, who scored five goals in nine appearances this season. 


Who could be the goalscorer for Bodo/Glimt?

Amahl Pellegrino, who scored 23 goals in 29 appearances this season.