Lazio vs Roma Prediction 12.11.2023

Lazio

Lazio

0 : 0

AS Roma

AS Roma

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  • Competition: Italy - Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 12th, November 2023
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18.00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

The atmosphere in Rome is reaching a boiling point as the first Derby della Capitale of the season approaches. Lazio and Roma, separated by just one point in the Serie A standings, will clash at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday.

Lazio is highly motivated as they enter the Roman derby after securing a hard-fought 1-0 victory over the Rotterdam giant Feyenoord in the midweek, despite being statistically inferior, propelling them to the second position in Group E, just one point behind Atletico Madrid, who sits at the top. After a successful mission in the Champions League, the Biancocelesti are now turning their attention to domestic tasks, but unfortunately, they cannot boast about the current development of the ongoing season in the Italian top-flight. With an unconvincing 16 points to their name from 11 rounds, Maurizio Sarri's men are placed tenth in the Serie A table, and it seems unlikely that they will repeat last year's impressive second-place finish, let alone contend for the Scudetto.

In stark contrast to their fierce city rivals, Roma tasted their first European setback in this year's edition of the Europa League midweek, succumbing to a painful 0-2 defeat against Slavia Prague in the Czech Republic. Similar to Lazio, La Lupa weathered a rather tumultuous start to the Serie A campaign, casting doubt on their ability to make a comeback in the elite club competition, an experience they last tasted during the 2018-19 season. However, Jose Mourinho's squad has exhibited an impressive resurgence in recent weeks, amassing 12 out of a possible 15 points from the last five rounds. This surge has propelled them to the seventh position, trailing only four points behind fourth-placed Napoli, who currently hold the last Champions League spot.

Lazio vs Roma Betting Tips: Under 2.5

In both of last season's head-to-head clashes between the city rivals, Lazio proved more successful, taking the maximum six points - both times coming out 1-0 winners - and another tight Rome derby without much action and excitement could be on the cards on Sunday. Despite boasting exceptional talents on paper in the offensive sector, Lazio evidently suffers from a lack of sharpness in attack, clearly reflected in the fact that they have found the net only 13 times in 11 rounds, making them the second-lowest scorers among the top 10 teams. Furthermore, offensive struggles and a resolute defense have led to dull and unproductive matches for Lazio recently, with three consecutive outings across all competitions ending with just one goal scored each time (W2,L1). 

On the flip side, Roma hasn't been at their best on foreign soil in the current Serie A season, managing only one triumph and accumulating four points out of a possible 15. Additionally, their attacking capabilities appear less potent, surpassing the two-goal mark only once in five away fixtures. Similar to Lazio, the Giallorossi haven't excelled in the efficiency of their recent matches, failing to surpass the 2.5-goal mark in four out of their last five official encounters. Despite the traditional intensity and tension that the Rome derby brings, both teams are expected to embrace a staunch defensive strategy, making the Under 2.5 goals option potentially profitable in the end.

Best bookmakers for Lazio vs Roma match

Lazio vs AS Roma Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lazio

    0 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    1 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. AS Roma

    3 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    3 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

Lazio

Lazio team news

Lazio will face their fierce city rival without the pivotal Mattia Zaccagni, who picked up a minor knee injury during the midweek UCL match. Consequently, coach Maurizio Sarri has opted not to include him in the lineup for the Rome derby this weekend. As a result, 36-year-old Pedro will start on the left wing.

Complaining of a late injury during the clash with Feyenoord, experienced midfielder Luis Alberto had no choice but to remain on the field, given that the manager had exhausted all five substitutions before his injury. His availability for the next match is up in the air, as is the case for Adam Marusic, who sustained an ankle injury in last week's loss to Bologna.

Last matches of Lazio

  1. Lazio

    1 : 0

    Genoa

    Coppa Italia

  2. Lazio

    1 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Lazio

    2 : 0

    Celtic

    Champions League

  4. Salernitana

    2 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    0 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

Lazio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 94

    Ivan Provedel

Defenders

  • 77

    Adam Marusic

  • 13

    Alessio Romagnoli

  • 4

    Patric

  • 29

    Manuel Lazzari

Midfielders

  • 10

    Luis Alberto

  • 65

    Nicolo Rovella

  • 8

    Matteo Guendouzi

Forwards

  • 9

    Pedro

  • 17

    Ciro Immobile

  • 7

    Felipe Anderson

AS Roma

Roma team news

Although not involved in the midweek 0-2 defeat against Slavia Prague in the Czech Republic, the talented Polish winger Nicola Zalewski is expected to shake off the flu by Sunday, allowing Jose Mourinho to count on him in the Derby della Capitale.

The 35-year-old first-choice goalkeeper, Rui Patricio, is also expected to return between the posts after being given a rest on Thursday, while the Argentine-Belgian duo, Paulo Dybala and Romelu Lukaku, are set to spearhead the attack from the first minute.

Last matches of AS Roma

  1. Sassuolo

    1 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. Servette FC

    1 : 1

    AS Roma

    Europa League

  3. AS Roma

    3 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    0 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. Slavia Praha

    2 : 0

    AS Roma

    Europa League

AS Roma lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Rui Patrício

Defenders

  • 5

    Evan Ndicka

  • 14

    Diego Llorente

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

Midfielders

  • 59

    Nicola Zalewski

  • 22

    Houssem Aouar

  • 16

    Leandro Paredes

  • 4

    Bryan Cristante

  • 2

    Rick Karsdorp

Forwards

  • 90

    Romelu Lukaku

  • 21

    Paulo Dybala

4 Reasons why we expect Under 2.5

  1. Each of Lazio's last three matches in all competitions has ended with exactly one goal.
  2. Lazio has recorded a clean sheet in three of their last five competitive matches.
  3. Roma has seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
  4. Last season, both encounters between these sides ended with exactly one goal, with Lazio winning both 1-0.

Main prediction Lazio - AS Roma

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

22bet

1.5

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Do you agree with don_ andres ?

don_ andres

don_ andres

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21 votes

Yes 67%

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21 votes

No 33%

Additional predictions

Draw

Best odds:2.94

Under 1.5 goals 1st half

Best odds:1.28

Under 1.5 goals 2nd half

Best odds:1.51

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.88

Lazio & AS Roma current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 14 11 2 1 33 - 7 +26 35
2 Juventus 14 10 3 1 22 - 9 +13 33
3 Milan 14 9 2 3 24 - 15 +9 29
4 Roma 14 7 3 4 27 - 16 +11 24
5 Napoli 14 7 3 4 26 - 17 +9 24
6 Fiorentina 14 7 2 5 23 - 17 +6 23
7 Bologna 14 5 7 2 16 - 11 +5 22
8 Atalanta 14 6 2 6 21 - 16 +5 20
9 Lazio 14 6 2 6 15 - 15 0 20
10 Torino 14 5 4 5 13 - 16 -3 19
11 Monza 14 4 6 4 15 - 14 +1 18
12 Frosinone 14 5 3 6 20 - 24 -4 18
13 Lecce 14 3 7 4 16 - 19 -3 16
14 Genoa 14 4 3 7 15 - 19 -4 15
15 Sassuolo 14 4 3 7 21 - 26 -5 15
16 Udinese 14 1 9 4 12 - 21 -9 12
17 Empoli 14 3 2 9 9 - 26 -17 11
18 Hellas Verona 14 2 4 8 12 - 21 -9 10
19 Cagliari 14 2 4 8 13 - 26 -13 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 5 8 10 - 28 -18 8

Lazio vs Roma - FAQ

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Where to watch?

The match between these teams will be broadcast on Arena Sport (BiH), Arena Sport (Cro), Arena Sport (Ser), Arena Sport (Svn), beIN Sports (Aus), beIN Sports Max (Fra), CMore Fotboll (Swe), Cytavision Sports, Digi Sport 3 (Rom), Eleven Sports 2 (Pol), ESPN 4 (Bra), Max Sport 3 (Bul), MEGOGO, MTV Katsomo (Fin), Nova Sport 3 (Cze), Orange Sport (Rom), Prima Sport 2 (Rom), Setanta Sports Eurasia, Sport 2 (Hun), Sport TV3 (Por), SuperSport, TNT Sports, Ziggo Sport Voetbal

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Who is Lazio's player to watch?

Ciro Immobile, as usual, leads the attack for his team. This season, he has scored four goals and found the net in two of the last three matches.

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Who is Roma's player to watch?

Only Lautaro Martinez (12G) is a better scorer than Romelu Lukaku this season, who has been shining since joining Roma, scoring nine goals in 13 matches in all competitions.