Kazakhstan vs San Marino prediction 17.11.2023
Kazakhstan
3 : 1
San Marino
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Contents
- Competition: EURO 2024 Qualifiers
- Date: Friday, 17th November 2023
- Kickoff: 15:00 UTC / 16:00 CET
- Venue: Astana Arena (Astana)
Kazakhstan came to these EURO 2024 Qualifiers after a very good run in the UEFA Nations League C, where they managed to win their Group 3 with Azerbaijan, Slovakia, and Belarus. That way, they secured at least a playoff spot for EURO if they fail to qualify through the Qualifiers. They are doing fine in these Qualifiers as they are 3rd with 15 points - four away from Slovenia and Denmark. With two rounds remaining, they still have a solid chance to secure EURO but have to win the game vs San Marino and Slovenia in the last round.
According to FIFA World Rankings, San Marino are the worst team in the World. So far, they have played 203 games in their history and managed to win only once - against another weak team, Liechtenstein. They have lost all eight games in the EURO Qualifiers, but that is hardly a surprise for anyone. In fact, whenever they score a goal, it is a massive success for them.
Kazakhstan vs San Marino pick: Under 3.5 goals
Kazakhstan are a much better team in every department, and we do not question their victory. However, they are not a particularly efficient team or a team that knows how to play attacking football. So far, besides games vs. Denmark, Kazakhstan were under 3.5 goals in all (six) matches, including the previous game vs. San Marino when they won 3:0. Kazakhstan were not particularly impressive in that match, having "only" 59% ball possession, scoring the second goal from the penalty spot and scoring the third goal in the stoppage time.
San Marino are terrible team offensively, and it is hard to expect they can score in this road game. In these Qualifiers, they scored only once in eight matches, and it is unrealistic to expect a goal from them. On the other hand, it seems they are getting better at defending in recent years because they now rarely allow four or more goals. In eight matches in the Qualifiers, San Marino allowed four or more goals on three occasions.
Considering the previous h2h game and everything above, we think an under 3.5 goals bet is the best option for this tie.
Best bookmakers for Kazakhstan vs San Marino match
Kazakhstan vs San Marino Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Kazakhstan
3 : 1
San Marino
Euro Qualification
-
San Marino
0 : 3
Kazakhstan
Euro Qualification
-
San Marino
1 : 3
Kazakhstan
Euro Qualification
-
Kazakhstan
4 : 0
San Marino
Euro Qualification
Kazakhstan team news
Kazakhstan's top goalscorer in these Qualifiers, Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov, suffered an injury in the previous game vs Basaksehir and had to leave the field after 40 minutes. He is called for the national team, but we doubt they will risk playing him vs San Marino.
A starting right full-back/wing-back, Mikhail Gabyshev, is not called for the national team due to an injury.
Last matches of Kazakhstan
-
Slovenia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
Euro Qualification
-
Kazakhstan
3 : 1
San Marino
Euro Qualification
-
Finland
1 : 2
Kazakhstan
Euro Qualification
-
Denmark
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
Euro Qualification
-
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Northern Ireland
Euro Qualification
Kazakhstan lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Igor Sharskiy
Defenders
-
4
Marat Bystrov
-
22
Aleksandr Marochkin
-
3
Nuraly Alip
Midfielders
-
13
Bagdat Kairov
-
5
Islambek Kuat
-
7
Aslan Darabayev
-
18
Timur Dosmagambetov
Forwards
-
20
Ramazan Orazov
-
17
Abat Aymbetov
-
10
Maksim Samorodov
San Marino team news
Mirko Palazzi (36-year-old) and Jose Hirsch (37), who more or less regularly played for the national team in the last few years, are not called for the games vs Kazakhstan and Finland. Both players are approaching the end of their careers and will most likely not play for the team anymore.
All national team players play either in the domestic or Italian lower leagues and are not too known in the football world.
Last matches of San Marino
-
San Marino
1 : 2
Finland
Euro Qualification
-
Kazakhstan
3 : 1
San Marino
Euro Qualification
-
San Marino
1 : 2
Denmark
Euro Qualification
-
Northern Ireland
3 : 0
San Marino
Euro Qualification
-
San Marino
0 : 4
Slovenia
Euro Qualification
San Marino lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Elia Benedettini
Defenders
-
16
Filippo Fabbri
-
6
Dante Rossi
-
5
Michele Cevoli
Midfielders
-
2
Alessandro D'Addario
-
22
Marcello Mularoni
-
10
Michael Battistini
-
17
Alessandro Golinucci
-
3
Alessandro Tosi
Forwards
-
9
Nicola Nanni
-
21
Lorenzo Lazzari
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- Kazakhstan scored five goals in the previous five games
- Kazakhstan were six times under 3.5 goals in eight games in the Qualifiers
- San Marino scored once in eight rounds
- The previous h2h game finished with a 3:0 win for Kazakhstan
Main prediction Kazakhstan - San Marino
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
1.74
Do you agree with Nikola qq ?
23 votes
Yes 65%
23 votes
No 35%
Additional predictions
AH1 (-2)
Best odds:1.42
BTTS - NO
Best odds:1.22
AH1 (-1)
Best odds:1.07
AH1 (-1.5)
Best odds:1.3
Under 1.5 goals 1st half
Best odds:1.83
Kazakhstan & San Marino current standing in Euro Qualification
| Group H | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 - 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 - 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 - 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 - 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 - 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 - 31 | -28 | 0 |