Italy vs North Macedonia prediction 17.11.2023

Italy

Italy

5 : 2

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: EURO Qualifications
  • Date: Friday, 17th November 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UTC / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Italy missed the previous World Cup and now they are on edge to miss the EURO 2024 too. That would be a disaster for one of the most glorious football nations in Europe. Italy are third in the group with ten points. If Italy wins on Friday, they could tie with Ukraine in second place. In that case, Italy and Ukraine would play the decisive game next week. Of course, Italy have the option to qualify for EURO through playoff too. Luciano Spalletti's team won two of the last three matches. In the previous game, they lost 3-1 on the road against England. Guests got the lad in the 15th minute of that match, but in the rest of the game, the home side was better, so Italy stayed empty-handed. 

When the groups were drawn, it was clear that North Macedonia didn't have a real chance to qualify for EURO 2024. They have to play against Italy and England in the two rounds that are left. North Macedonia won two of the previous three matches, including friendlies. In the previous game (friendly), they won 3-1 at home against Armenia. The problems for North Macedonians were mostly in matches away from home, as they lost four of the previous five road games, so Blagoja Milevski's team will have a lot of problems on Friday versus Italy. 

Italy vs North Macedonia pick: Italy to win and cover AH -2 spread

Italy have some problems with the team, but they are playing well at home. Italy won four of the last five matches at home. On the other hand, we already mentioned North Macedonians struggle away from home. Italy to win and cover AH -2 spread should be the best bet for this tie. 

Best bookmakers for Italy vs North Macedonia match

Italy vs North Macedonia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Italy

    5 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  2. North Macedonia

    1 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  3. Italy

    0 : 1

    North Macedonia

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Italy

    1 : 1

    North Macedonia

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. North Macedonia

    2 : 3

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

Italy

Italy team news

Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Fagiolo are suspended for breaking betting rules, so they will not be with the squad. The good news is that Nicolo Zaniolo returned to the squad after it was cleared that he didn't bet. Also, Jorginho returned to the squad after has started playing more regularly for Arsenal. 

Manuel Locatelli is injured and will not play against North Macedonia on Friday. Also, Cristante and Cambiaso have some problems too, but they could be ready for Friday. 

Last matches of Italy

  1. Ukraine

    0 : 0

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  2. Italy

    5 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  3. England

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  4. Italy

    4 : 0

    Malta

    Euro Qualification

  5. Italy

    2 : 1

    Ukraine

    Euro Qualification

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 2

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 23

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 5

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 3

    Federico Dimarco

Midfielders

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

  • 16

    Bryan Cristante

  • 8

    Davide Frattesi

Forwards

  • 11

    Domenico Berardi

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

  • 14

    Federico Chiesa

North Macedonia

North Macedonia team news

North Macedonia doesn't have too many players from the top five European leagues. Of course, the best player on the team is Eljif Elmas from Napoli.

We have to mention also Enis Bardhi, who have a good season in Trabzonspor and goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski, who is playing regularly for Rayo Vallecano.

The rest of the team is pretty average. 

Last matches of North Macedonia

  1. North Macedonia

    1 : 1

    England

    Euro Qualification

  2. Italy

    5 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  3. North Macedonia

    3 : 1

    Armenia

    Friendly International

  4. Ukraine

    2 : 0

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

  5. Malta

    0 : 2

    North Macedonia

    Euro Qualification

North Macedonia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Stole Dimitrievski

Defenders

  • 2

    Ahmed Iljazovski

  • 15

    Jovan Manev

  • 6

    Visar Musliu

  • 8

    Ezgjan Alioski

Midfielders

  • 7

    Eljif Elmas

  • 5

    Arijan Ademi

  • 10

    Enis Bardhi

Forwards

  • 11

    Darko Churlinov

  • 20

    Bojan Miovski

  • 17

    Valon Ethemi

3 Reasons why Italy should win and cover AH -2 spread

  1. Italy won two of the last three matches
  2. Italy won four of the previous five home games
  3. North Macedonia lost four of the last five matches

Main prediction Italy - North Macedonia

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.66

Bet here

Do you agree with Nemanja 87 ?

Nemanja 87

Nemanja  87

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22 votes

Yes 55%

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22 votes

No 45%

Additional predictions

Over 3.5

Best odds:2.26

BTTS

Best odds:2.63

AH1 (-1.5)

Best odds:1.44

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.51

Under 1.5 goals 1st half

Best odds:1.76

Over 1.5 goals 2nd half

Best odds:1.73

Italy & North Macedonia current standing in Euro Qualification

Group C P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 England 8 6 2 0 22 - 4 +18 20
2 Italy 8 4 2 2 16 - 9 +7 14
3 Ukraine 8 4 2 2 11 - 8 +3 14
4 North Macedonia 8 2 2 4 10 - 20 -10 8
5 Malta 8 0 0 8 2 - 20 -18 0

Italy vs North Macedonia - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Italy in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for Italy in EURO qualifications is 1.55.

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How much is the average xG for North Macedonia in EURO qualifications?

The average xG for North Macedonia in EURO qualifications is 0.97.