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Ilves vs Lahti prediction 10.06.2026 | Suomen Cup

FC Ilves

FC Ilves

Kick off:

Date:

FC Lahti

FC Lahti

1

2.27

X

3.34

2

3.00

  • Competition: Suomen Cup, Quarter Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 10th June, 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

On Wednesday afternoon, two Veikkausliiga sides, Ilves and Lahti, will face off in the Suomen Cup Quarter-finals. Interestingly, these teams met in the league only around a week and a half ago, with Lahti absolutely dominating and winning 5:0. Before that match, Ilves eliminated TPS in the previous round of the Cup 1:0, while Lahti beat Marienhamn with the same result.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Suomen Cup tie. 

FC Ilves vs FC Lahti Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Lahti

    5 : 0

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  2. FC Lahti

    2 : 2

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  3. FC Ilves

    0 : 0

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  4. FC Lahti

    1 : 5

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  5. FC Lahti

    3 : 2

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  6. FC Ilves

    2 : 2

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

As stated, these teams met just around a week and a half ago, with Lahti thrashing Ilves 5:0. Before the last duel, these teams met twice in 2024, with both games ending in a draw. Looking further back, over the past 10 h2h games, each team secured three wins.

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those as well. 

FC Ilves

Ilves team overview

Ilves came into this season after a magnificent one last year when they finished 2nd in the regular phase and eventually 3rd after the Championship group, securing European Qualifiers. However, this season they had an atrocious start, winning nine points in the first ten rounds. Right now, they sit in 9th place, already four points behind the Championship Group, with one game played more. So, we can definitely say the start of the season has been a disaster.

After a 5:0 loss to Lahti, coach Joni Lehtonen spoke to the media. He said they were really poor and that nothing had worked for them, neither on offense nor on defense. The coach said that both the staff and the players need to take responsibility after their biggest defeat of the year.

Last matches of FC Ilves

  1. FC Lahti

    5 : 0

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  2. FC Ilves

    1 : 0

    TPS

    Finland Cup

  3. FC Ilves

    2 : 0

    Gnistan

    Veikkausliiga

  4. FC Ilves

    1 : 3

    Inter Turku

    Veikkausliiga

  5. HJK Helsinki

    2 : 2

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

FC Ilves lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Otso Virtanen

Defenders

  • 3

    Matias Rale

  • 24

    Ville Kumpu

  • 16

    Tatu Miettunen

Midfielders

  • 4

    Oliver Pettersson

  • 6

    Yiandro Raap

  • 22

    Oskari Multala

  • 13

    Kalle Wallius

  • 28

    Jesse Kilo

Forwards

  • 8

    Maksim Stjopin

  • 9

    Teemu Hytönen

FC Lahti

Lahti team overview

Lahti secured an instant return to Veikkausliiga after suffering relegation in 2024 after 13 consecutive seasons in the Finnish top flight. This season, while they had some good performances, most of them came at home, and there is a big question about how they would perform on the road vs Ilves, even though they just dominated them in the league duel. In Veikkausliiga, they sit in 7th place with 11 points from nine rounds and are only two points away from the Championship Group. 

After a 5:0 win over Ilves, coach Gonçalo Pereira spoke to the media. He said it was easy to take control of the game after going up 3:0 pretty early. The coach praised the team, saying they did a really good job and especially highlighting their attitude. 

Last matches of FC Lahti

  1. FC Lahti

    5 : 0

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  2. IFK Mariehamn

    0 : 1

    FC Lahti

    Finland Cup

  3. KuPS

    2 : 1

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  4. FC Lahti

    1 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  5. FC Lahti

    3 : 1

    MP

    Finland Cup

FC Lahti lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Osku Maukonen

Defenders

  • 27

    Romaric Yapi

  • 4

    José Müller

  • 5

    Nícolas Gianini Dantas

  • 3

    Romain Sans

Midfielders

  • 14

    Erik Andersson

  • 18

    Yohan Cassubie

  • 8

    Tòfol Montiel

Forwards

  • 77

    Momodou Sarr

  • 9

    Aaron Lindholm

  • 17

    Amir Belabid

Prediction

In the previous h2h game, just around a week and a half ago, we saw Lahti winning 5:0. Lahti easily created goal-scoring chances and eventually finished with an xG of 5.02. That proves that the win wasn't a fluke, and we believe they can do well offensively again in the Cup. Still, since they had some problems on the road, we are reluctant to take a bet on them winning. On the road, Lahti went over 2.5 goals in four of the past six games while recording just one clean sheet.

Meanwhile, Ilves were really good for this type of bet throughout the season as they have gone over 2.5 goals in eight of 12 games across competitions - 67%. Also, at home, they have been pretty good offensively, scoring at least one goal in each of their five matches.

Moreover, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Soumen Cup tie. 

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Lahti won 5:0 in the previous H2H game
  2. Seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals
  3. Ilves went over 2.5 goals in eight of 12 games
  4. Lahti went over 2.5 goals in four out of six road games

Main prediction FC Ilves - FC Lahti

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.80

Bet here

Ilves vs Lahti – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Ruutu+.

? How much is the average xG for Ilves this season?

The average xG for Ilves in the league this season is 1.12.

? How much is the average xG for Lahti this season?

The average xG for Lahti in the league this season is 1.34.