Denmark vs Finland prediction 23.03.2023

Denmark

Denmark

3 : 1

Finland

Finland

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  • Competition: EURO 2024 Qualifiers
  • Date: Thursday, 23rd March 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Denmark are coming to this EURO 2024 Qualifiers after a World Cup in Qatar, where they managed to win only one point in three matches. In the last game, against Australia, they had a chance to advance to the knockout phase, but even though they were a better team than Australia, they lost and blew a historic opportunity. 

In the UEFA Nations League, before the World Cup, Denmark were great in the group with Croatia, France, and Austria. They finished 2nd, just one point behind Croatia but managed to win both on the road and at home against France and Austria. 

In recent years, Denmark have been great defensively, but the impression is that they lack one world-class striker to make a serious step forward. Martin Braithwaite (Espanyol) is their first option for now, but young Rasmus Hojlund (Atalanta) could be their best option for the upcoming years.

Finland were solid in the last UEFA Nations League group 3. In the group with three Balkan teams - Bosnia and Herzegovina, Romania, and Montenegro, Finland came second with eight points, three points behind the first-placed Bosnia. 

After the UEFA Nations League, they played four friendly matches but struggled offensively, scoring only two goals. In the last game, they lost 1:0 to Estonia, and despite having 62% ball possession and 11 shots, they had zero shots on goal. It is evident they have big problems with creating goalscoring opportunities, which will undoubtedly be the case against an excellent defensive team like Denmark. 

Denmark vs Finland pick: Under 2.5 goals

Denmark were five times under 2.5 goals in the previous seven games in all competitions. In Denmark, they rarely concede goals, and during the last three matches played in Denmark (against France, Croatia, and Austria), they were all three times under 2.5 goals with only one conceded goal.

Finland rarely plays high-scoring games. In the previous 13 matches in all competitions, they were only two times over 2.5 goals. They also failed to score in the last two games against Sweden and Estonia. 

In the last h2h match, we have seen a 1:0 win for Finland. 

Denmark vs Finland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Denmark

    3 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  2. Denmark

    0 : 1

    Finland

    European Championship

  3. Denmark

    2 : 1

    Finland

    Friendly International

Denmark

Denmark Team News

Coach Kasper Hjulmand did not invite several notable names who played for Denmark in the World Cup or UEFA Nations League: Jannik Vestergaard (Leicester City), Daniel Wass (Brondby), Thomas Delaney, Robert Skov (Hoffenheim), and Yussuf Poulsen (RB Leipzig).

Christian Eriksen (Manchester United), Kasper Dolberg (Hoffenheim), and Andreas Skov Olsen (Club Brugge) are injured and will miss the first two games of the Euro 2024 Qualifiers. 

Morten Hjulmand could record his first national team appearance after being a vital part of the Lecce squad this season.

Last matches of Denmark

  1. Kazakhstan

    3 : 2

    Denmark

    Euro Qualification

  2. Denmark

    3 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  3. Australia

    1 : 0

    Denmark

    World Cup

  4. France

    2 : 1

    Denmark

    World Cup

  5. Denmark

    0 : 0

    Tunisia

    World Cup

Denmark lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Kasper Schmeichel

Defenders

  • 18

    Alexander Bah

  • 4

    Simon Kjær

  • 6

    Andreas Christensen

  • 5

    Joakim Mæhle

Midfielders

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 15

    Christian Nørgaard

  • 7

    Mathias Jensen

  • 14

    Mikkel Damsgaard

Forwards

  • 9

    Martin Braithwaite

  • 11

    Rasmus Winther Højlund

Finland

Finland Team News

Finland changed the squad compared to the Summer of 2021 when they last played against Denmark. From the starting 11, only Lukas Hradecky, Teemu Pukki, Glen Kamara, Robin Lod, and Joel Pohjanpalo are a part of the new squad. 

The most notable player who is not invited for the Denmark game is the 28-year-old left full-back Jere Uronen who has recorded 61 national team appearances so far. 

Teemu Pukki is Finland's top goalscorer in national team history, with 37 goals. Still, Pukki failed to score a goal in Norwich's previous eight Championship games. 

Last matches of Finland

  1. Northern Ireland

    0 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  2. Denmark

    3 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  3. Finland

    0 : 1

    Estonia

    Friendly International

  4. Sweden

    2 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

  5. Norway

    1 : 1

    Finland

    Friendly International

Finland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukáš Hrádecký

Defenders

  • 17

    Nikolai Alho

  • 2

    Leo Väisänen

  • 4

    Robert Ivanov

  • 3

    Richard Jensen

Midfielders

  • 8

    Robin Lod

  • 14

    Kaan Kairinen

  • 6

    Glen Kamara

  • 18

    Oliver Antman

Forwards

  • 20

    Joel Pohjanpalo

  • 10

    Teemu Pukki

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Denmark went all three times under 2.5 goals in the last three games played in Denmark
  2. Finland were six times under 2.5 goals before this match
  3. Finland failed to score in the previous two games
  4. In the last h2h match, we have seen only one goal

Main prediction Denmark - Finland

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Additional predictions

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.52

AH1 (-1.5)

Best odds:2.12

Denmark & Finland current standing in Euro Qualification

Group H P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Slovenia 2 2 0 0 4 - 1 +3 6
2 Denmark 2 1 0 1 5 - 4 +1 3
3 Northern Ireland 2 1 0 1 2 - 1 +1 3
4 Kazakhstan 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
5 Finland 2 1 0 1 2 - 3 -1 3
6 San Marino 2 0 0 2 0 - 4 -4 0

Denmark vs Finland - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.
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Who could be the goalscorer for Denmark?

Martin Braithwaite, who scored three goals in the previous four matches in La Liga for Espanyol.
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Who could be the goalscorer for Finland?

Teemu Pukki, who scored the most goals in Finland's national team history (37 in 108 appearances).