Brentford vs Arsenal prediction 27.09.2023

Brentford

Brentford

0 : 1

Arsenal

Arsenal

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Carabao Cup, 1/16 Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 27th September 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

On Wednesday evening, two Premier League teams will face off in the Carabao Cup 1/16 Finals at Brentford Community Stadium in London. 

Since coming to the Premier League, Brentford quickly became one of the stable teams, finishing 9th and 13th in the first two seasons. This season started well for them, with no losses in the first five matches. However, they lost two in a row before this Carabao Cup game, and it will be interesting to see how they will respond after two bad games.

Arsenal were close to winning the title last year, but as we know, they fell apart in the final part of the season. Still, they secured the Champions League for the first time since the 2016/17 season. The current season started well for them, winning the Community Shield vs Manchester City. In the Premier League, they are 5th with 14 points, four away from the 1st-placed Manchester City.  

Brentford vs Arsenal pick: Over 2.5 goals

There was a big question about how Brentord will do offensively without Ivan Toney, but they are doing just fine. The Bees scored in six of seven games this season, only failing to score vs Newcastle United. At home, Brentford scored every time in four matches and were over 2.5 goals three times. However, it is evident they have problems defensively, considering they still haven't had a clean sheet at Brentford Community Stadium and have allowed two or more goals in three of four matches. 

Lately, Arsenal mostly played high-scoring games, primarily due to a good offense. In the last five matches, they scored 12 goals - 2.4 per game and were over 2.5 goals in four of five matches.

In the previous season, at this stage of the Carabao Cup, Arsenal played vs Brighton and heavily rotated the squad. They went on and lost 3:1, and we think they will once again do the same since it is very hard to play on multiple fronts. When that happens, it mostly results in a high-scoring game, so that is another good reason for this bet. 

Two of the last three (official) h2h games finished with three or more goals. 

Brentford vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Carabao Cup

  3. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Brentford

    0 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

Brentford

Brentford team news

As mentioned, Ivan Toney is suspended for gambling and unavailable until 17 January 2024. But, according to speculations, the striker could leave Brentford before his suspension finishes since there is major interest in him from Manchester United, Tottenham, and Chelsea.

A starting left full-back, Rico Henry, will miss the game with a knee injury. Still, they have a very good backup option in Aaron Hickey. 

Midfielders Josh Dasilva and Shandon Baptiste are also ruled out with injuries, while Mikkel Damsgaard is questionable. 

Last matches of Brentford

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  2. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Luton Town F.C.

    Premier League

  3. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Liverpool

    3 : 0

    Brentford

    Premier League

  5. Brentford

    3 : 2

    West Ham United

    Premier League

Brentford lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mark Flekken

Defenders

  • 22

    Nathan Collins

  • 5

    Ethan Pinnock

  • 13

    Zanka

Midfielders

  • 30

    Mads Roerslev

  • 15

    Frank Onyeka

  • 6

    Christian Nørgaard

  • 27

    Vitaly Janelt

  • 2

    Aaron Hickey

Forwards

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 11

    Yoane Wissa

Arsenal

Arsenal team news

Declan Rice had to leave the field after 45 minutes in the previous game vs Tottenham due to some pain in his back. He is listed as questionable, but we highly doubt he will play in the Carabao Cup. 

Gabriel Martinelli, who suffered a hamstring injury against Everton and missed the following two games, is close to returning to the pitch. We might see him for a limited minutes.

Jurrien Timber, Thomas Partey, and Leonardo Trossard are also ruled out with injuries. 

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Luton Town F.C.

    3 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    6 : 0

    RC Lens

    Champions League

  4. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 4

    Benjamin White

  • 18

    Takehiro Tomiyasu

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhães

  • 15

    Jakub Kiwior

Midfielders

  • 10

    Emile Smith Rowe

  • 20

    Jorginho

  • 29

    Kai Havertz

Forwards

  • 71

    Charles Sagoe Jr.

  • 14

    Edward Nketiah

  • 24

    Reiss Nelson

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Brentford were twice over 2.5 goals in the previous three games
  2. Arsenal scored six goals in the previous two games
  3. Arsenal were over 2.5 goals in four of the last five games
  4. We have seen three or more goals in two of the previous three h2h games

Main prediction Brentford - Arsenal

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.2

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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56 votes

Yes 70%

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56 votes

No 30%

Additional predictions

Double Chance (1X)

Best odds:1.61

BTTS

Best odds:1.8

Over 3.5

Best odds:3.18

Brentford vs Arsenal - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Viaplay channel.

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How much is the average xG for Brentford this season in the Premier League?

The average xG for Brentford this season is 1.4. 

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How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season in the Premier League?

The average xG for Arsenal this season is 1.82.