Bayern vs PSG prediction 08/03/2023 Champions League

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2 : 0

PSG

PSG

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  • Date: 08/03/2023
  • Competition: Champions League
  • KO: 20:00 GMT / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Allianz Arena (München)

Having emerged with a narrow 1:0 from their first-leg CL round of sixteen tie in Paris, Bayern Munich now plays host to PSG at the Allianz Arena.

Deserved winners against a PSG side bereft of attacking ideas, Bayern now finds themselves as massive favourites to progress to the quarter-finals for the fourth successive season.

Bayern vs PSG Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals

Now just 1.16 odds to qualify at the time of writing, Bayern looks near certs to emerge from this tie with the Bavarians boasting such a strong home record in this competition with just one loss in their previous 17 home UCL matches since 2019. Of course, that solitary defeat was a crucial one and came at the hands of PSG in the quarter-finals back in 2021. 

Since that loss, Bayern have won seven of their next eight home UCL games with a whopping 30 goals scored. Contrastingly, PSG have won only two of their next away UCL fixtures since that fine win in Munich.

While the first leg proved a more tentative affair, we do expect to see goals in this decisive second leg. Should Bayern get the opener, PSG will have no choice but to go for it, and given their recent defensive uncertainty, it seems improbable that they can keep out a Bayern side so strong in attack, even if they do score the first goal in this contest.

On the road, goals are usually inevitable when PSG are involved in this competition, with 11 of their last 12 seeing BTTS. Nine of those 11 also saw over 2.5 goals scored, and given the nature of this contest, that outcome looks likely, with the over 2.5 goals selection also appealing. Combining both selections looks like a wise play for a fixture that could get tasty if we get an early goal at either end. 

Bayern Munich vs PSG Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Bayern Munich

    2 : 0

    PSG

    Champions League

  2. PSG

    0 : 1

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  3. PSG

    0 : 1

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  4. Bayern Munich

    2 : 3

    PSG

    Champions League

  5. PSG

    0 : 1

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

Bayern Munich

Bayern Team News

Head Coach Julian Nagelsmann has a fully fit squad to choose from, with Sadio Mane again available following his lengthy lay-off. Joao Cancelo is expected to be available, having shrugged off a minor knock since his arrival on loan from Man City.

Last matches of Bayern Munich

  1. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 1

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  2. Bayern Munich

    5 : 3

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayern Munich

    2 : 0

    PSG

    Champions League

  4. Stuttgart

    1 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  5. Bayern Munich

    3 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

Bayern Munich lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 27

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 44

    Josip Stanišić

  • 2

    Dayot Upamecano

  • 4

    Matthijs de Ligt

  • 19

    Alphonso Davies

Midfielders

  • 8

    Leon Goretzka

  • 6

    Joshua Kimmich

  • 11

    Kingsley Coman

  • 25

    Thomas Müller

  • 42

    Jamal Musiala

Forwards

  • 13

    Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

PSG

PSG Team News

Neymar, Renato Sanches, Presnel Kimpembe and Achraf Hakimi are all unavailable for the Parisiens, with Head Coach Christophe Galtier unlikely to make too many alterations from the team that claimed a hard-fought 4:2 win against Nantes on Sunday. Kylian Mbappe will lead the line alongside Leo Messi, having broken the PSG scoring record with an injury-time goal against the Canaries.

Last matches of PSG

  1. PSG

    0 : 0

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  2. Brest

    1 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. Bayern Munich

    2 : 0

    PSG

    Champions League

  4. PSG

    4 : 2

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    0 : 3

    PSG

    Ligue 1

PSG lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 15

    Danilo Pereira

  • 4

    Sergio Ramos

  • 5

    Marquinhos

Midfielders

  • 2

    Achraf Hakimi

  • 17

    Vitinha

  • 6

    Marco Verratti

  • 8

    Fabián Ruiz

  • 25

    Nuno Mendes

Forwards

  • 30

    Lionel Messi

  • 7

    Kylian Mbappé

Key Facts Bayern vs PSG

  1. Bayern have won seven of their last eight home UCL matches, with 30 goals scored in the process
  2. PSG have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 12 away UCL matches
  3. PSG won 3:2 when these sides last met in Munich in April 2021
  4. PSG have won just two of their last eight away UCL matches
  5. Bayern have scored two goals or more in 16 of their last 17 home UCL matches

Main prediction Bayern Munich - PSG

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.41

Bet here

Do you agree with Ryan Allan ?

Ryan Allan

Ryan Allan

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69 votes

Yes 77%

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69 votes

No 23%

Additional predictions

BTTS

Best odds:1.46

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.76

Bayern vs PSG - FAQ

? Bayern Player to Watch
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting - The former PSG forward has scored in each of his last three appearances for Bayern. The 33-year-old has now scored 16 goals across all competitions this season.
? PSG Player to Watch
Leo Messi - The Argentine veteran has bagged five goals in his last seven appearances for the Parisiens.
? Where to watch?
This Champions League match can be viewed live on BT Sport.