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Atletico MG vs Fortaleza prediction 12.11.2025 | Serie A

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

Kick off:

Date:

Fortaleza

Fortaleza

1

1.68

X

3.74

2

5.20

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Wednesday, 12th November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 23:30 UK / 00:30 CET
  • Venue: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

On the night between Wednesday and Thursday, Atletico MG and Fortaleza will face off in the 33rd round of the Brazilian Serie A. These two teams have different goals in the last six rounds - Atletico MG are trying to secure at least a spot in the Copa Sudamericana, while Fortaleza is hoping to secure survival. 

Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fortaleza

    1 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  2. Atletico Mineiro

    1 : 1

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

  3. Fortaleza

    2 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  4. Fortaleza

    0 : 0

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  5. Atletico Mineiro

    3 : 2

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

  6. Fortaleza

    1 : 2

    Atletico Mineiro

    Copa do Brasil

This season, we saw a 1:1 draw at Castelão in Fortaleza, a game in which Fortaleza received two red cards in the second half (59th and 83rd minutes). Looking further back, in the last ten h2h games, Atletico MG won five and Fortaleza twice. 

Regarding the number of goals, six times went over 2.5 goals in the past ten h2h meetings, while both teams scored on seven occasions. 

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico MG team overview

Atletico MG had an underwhelming season behind them, finishing 12th, and aren't doing much better this season as they are currently sitting in ninth place with 43 points - eight points from the Copa Libertadores Qualifiers. However, they are now in excellent form and could save their season by winning the Copa Sudamericana. They are expecting a final against Lanus (Argentina) in just ten days from now. It seems that is their best route to securing the Copa Libertadores. Still, they will have to keep winning points in Serie A too, because they are only three points away from dropping out of their Copa Sudamericana spots. 

Ruan Tressoldi and Bernard served their one-game suspension in the previous game against Sport Recife and will be available for the Fortaleza game. Both players have been an important part of the starting eleven in the last part of the season.

Last matches of Atletico Mineiro

  1. Sport Recife

    2 : 4

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  2. SC Internacional

    0 : 0

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  3. Atletico Mineiro

    3 : 1

    Independiente del Valle

    Copa Sudamericana

  4. Atletico Mineiro

    1 : 0

    Ceara

    Serie A

  5. Independiente del Valle

    1 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Everson

Defenders

  • 6

    Júnior Alonso

  • 16

    Ruan Tressoldi

  • 14

    Vitor Hugo

Midfielders

  • 2

    Natanael

  • 8

    Fausto Vera

  • 21

    Alan Franco

  • 17

    Igor Gomes

Forwards

  • 33

    Rony

  • 7

    Hulk

  • 11

    Bernard

Fortaleza

Fortaleza team overview

Unlike Atletico MG, Fortaleza had an excellent season behind them, finishing fourth! However, this year, the popular Tricolors are super close to being relegated after seven years in Serie A. After 32 rounds, they are sitting in 19th place - five points away from the safe zone, though with one game played less. Unfortunately for them, the remaining six games will be mostly against teams from the upper half of the league's table, and their route to survival will not be easy. 

Midfielder Matheus Pereira received a red card in the previous game against Gremio and will be suspended for the Atletico MG game. Additionally, Emanuel Brítez will serve his one-game suspension after collecting his third yellow card in the previous match.

Last matches of Fortaleza

  1. Itapipoca

    2 : 2

    Fortaleza

    Copa Fares Lopes

  2. Santos FC

    1 : 1

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

  3. Fortaleza

    0 : 0

    Quixadá

    Copa Fares Lopes

  4. Cruzeiro

    1 : 0

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

  5. Fortaleza

    0 : 2

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

Fortaleza lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Brenno

Defenders

  • 14

    Eros Mancuso

  • 13

    Benjamín Kuscevic

  • 3

    Gastón Ávila

  • 6

    Bruno Pacheco

Midfielders

  • 30

    Pierre

  • 26

    Breno Lopes

  • 88

    Lucas Sasha

  • 7

    Tomás Pochettino

Forwards

  • 27

    Adam Bareiro

  • 80

    José Herrera

Prediction

Atletico MG are in excellent form, having won back-to-back games against Sport Recife and Bahia, scoring seven goals. They are also undefeated in their past six games and have been fantastic at home, winning six and drawing three of their past nine games across competitions. 

Fortaleza had their ups and downs in the previous games, but most of their poor games happened away from home, where they struggled throughout the season. On the road, Fortaleza won just once in 15 games and lost more than half of their Serie A games (eight out of 15). 

In the past four h2h games at MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte, Atletico MG won three and drew once. Considering the trend in the past h2h games at MRV Arena and the difference in form, we believe the hosts should secure a comfortable win.

4 Reasons why Atletico MG should win

  1. Atletico MG won four out of the last five games
  2. Atletico MG haven't lost in the last nine games
  3. Fortaleza lost eight out of 15 Serie A rounds
  4. Atletico MG won three out of the last four h2h matches

Main prediction Atletico Mineiro - Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.68

Bet here

Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 32 21 5 6 58 - 28 +30 68
2 Flamengo 32 20 8 4 64 - 20 +44 68
3 Cruzeiro 33 18 10 5 46 - 22 +24 64
4 Mirassol 33 16 11 6 54 - 33 +21 59
5 Bahia 33 15 8 10 44 - 40 +4 53
6 Botafogo 33 14 10 9 44 - 28 +16 52
7 Fluminense 33 15 6 12 38 - 37 +1 51
8 São Paulo 33 12 9 12 37 - 36 +1 45
9 Atlético Mineiro 32 11 10 11 34 - 34 0 43
10 Vasco da Gama 33 12 6 15 50 - 49 +1 42
11 Bragantino 33 12 6 15 38 - 50 -12 42
12 Ceará 33 11 9 13 31 - 30 +1 42
13 Corinthians 33 11 9 13 35 - 38 -3 42
14 Grêmio 33 10 10 13 35 - 43 -8 40
15 Internacional 33 9 10 14 37 - 46 -9 37
16 Vitória 33 8 11 14 29 - 47 -18 35
17 Santos 32 8 9 15 33 - 48 -15 33
18 Juventude 33 9 5 19 29 - 59 -30 32
19 Fortaleza 32 7 9 16 31 - 48 -17 30
20 Sport Recife 32 2 11 19 24 - 55 -31 17

Atletico MG vs Fortaleza – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Fanatiz (Mex) channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico MG this season?

The average xG for Atletico MG in the Serie A this season is 1.58.

? How much is the average xG for Fortaleza this season?

The average xG for Fortaleza in the Serie A this season is 1.43.