Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction 18/09/2022

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1 : 2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

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  • Date: 18/09/2022
  • Competition: La Liga
  • KO: 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)

A typically feisty affair can be expected in Madrid this weekend as Atletico welcomes old rivals Real to the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano for the latest instalment of the Madrid derby.

Real make the short journey across Spain´s capital, having enjoyed a perfect start to their defence of both Champions League and La Liga Crowns, with Carlo Ancelotti´s side winning all 8 of their opening matches of the season, including a European Super Cup victory against Eintracht Frankfurt.

While Diego Simeone´s side have made a relatively decent start to the season, picking up 10 points from a possible 15, a midweek defeat in Germany against Leverkusen that, their second loss of the season was a big disappointment following a big 4:1 win against Celta last weekend.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Under 2.5 goals 

Scoring at least 2 goals in all 8 wins and winning by more than 1 goal in 6, Real have been impressively consistent over the opening period of the season and even without talisman Karim Benzema, picked up another win on Wednesday, eventually overcoming RB Leipzig with a 2:0 win at the Bernabeu. 

Atletico have performed well in the early part of the season however, a home loss to Villarreal and a midweek loss at Leverkusen indicates that this side has plenty of improvement to make if they are to push their city rivals for the title this season.

Recent meetings between these great rivals have been typically tight, with each of the last 7 seeing under 2.5 goals scored. The home side have usually had the better of results with no away wins in any of the last 6 league meetings, but Real will feel they have the form to gain the upper hand on an Atletico side that did win 1:0 when these sides last met at this venue in May.

Ultimately, we expect Real to maintain their fine form and claim the spoils however, goals are usually at a premium in this fixture, making the under 2.5 goals pick perhaps the most appealing.

Indeed, the history books dictate our betting approach here, with 12 of the last 14 league meetings between these rivals seeing under 2.5 goals scored. Just 5 of those matches saw BTTS, so a 1:0 away win has to be our prediction for this big Sunday evening fixture.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Team News

Diego Simeone has a strong squad to choose from however, Jose Giménez, Stefan Savić and Reguilón are expected to remain on the sidelines.

Joao Felix and Alvaro Morata are expected to lead the Atletico attack, with Spanish trio Saul, Koke, and Marcos Llorente set to start in midfield.

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Sevilla

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Porto

    Champions League

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 18

    Felipe

  • 20

    Axel Witsel

  • 23

    Reinildo Isnard Mandava

Midfielders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 5

    Rodrigo de Paul

  • 4

    Geoffrey Kondogbia

  • 6

    Koke

  • 21

    Yannick Carrasco

Forwards

  • 8

    Antoine Griezmann

  • 7

    João Félix

Real Madrid

Real Madrid Team News

Karim Benzema is expected to remain absent for the visitors. As a result, Belgian Eden Hazard should start in a false 9 role with support from in-form Brazilian wingers Rodrygo and Vinicius Jr. Brazilian defender Éder Militão is also expected to miss out.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

  4. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Mallorca

    La Liga

  5. Celtic

    0 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 2

    Daniel Carvajal

  • 3

    Éder Militão

  • 4

    David Alaba

  • 23

    Ferland Mendy

Midfielders

  • 10

    Luka Modrić

  • 18

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 8

    Toni Kroos

Forwards

  • 15

    Federico Valverde

  • 21

    Rodrygo

  • 20

    Vinícius Júnior

Key Facts Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

  1. Just 2 of the last 14 league meetings between these sides saw over 2.5 goals scored
  2. Real have won all 8 of their opening fixtures this season. They also won by more than 1 goal in 6 of those matches
  3. Real have lost just 1 of the last 9 competitive fixtures between these sides
  4. Atletico have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 home league matches
  5. 6 of the last 8 league meetings between these sides at this venue saw under 2.5 goals scored

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

49% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.74

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Do you agree with Ryan Allan ?

Ryan Allan

Ryan Allan

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31 votes

Yes 77%

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31 votes

No 23%

Additional predictions

AH2 (0)

Best odds:1.7

Atletico Madrid & Real Madrid current standing in La Liga

Club P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 6 1 0 19 - 1 +18 19
2 Real Madrid 7 6 1 0 18 - 7 +11 19
3 Athletic Club 7 5 1 1 16 - 4 +12 16
4 Real Betis 7 5 0 2 10 - 5 +5 15
5 Atlético Madrid 7 4 1 2 12 - 6 +6 13
6 Osasuna 7 4 1 2 8 - 6 +2 13
7 Real Sociedad 7 4 1 2 12 - 11 +1 13
8 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 10 - 2 +8 12
9 Valencia 7 3 1 3 12 - 7 +5 10
10 Celta de Vigo 7 3 1 3 9 - 13 -4 10
11 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 6 - 8 -2 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 6 2 1 3 7 - 8 -1 7
13 Girona 7 2 1 4 10 - 12 -2 7
14 Getafe 7 2 1 4 8 - 15 -7 7
15 Real Valladolid 7 2 1 4 6 - 13 -7 7
16 Espanyol 7 1 2 4 9 - 14 -5 5
17 Sevilla 7 1 2 4 7 - 13 -6 5
18 Almería 7 1 1 5 4 - 11 -7 4
19 Cádiz 7 1 1 5 1 - 14 -13 4
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 2 - 16 -14 1

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - FAQ

? Atletico Madrid Player to Watch
Alvaro Morata - The former Real Madrid striker has scored 3 goals in 7 appearances this season.
? Real Madrid Player to Watch
Vincius Jr - The Brazilian has scored 5 goals in his last 6 appearances for Real.
? Where to watch?
This La Liga match can be viewed live on La Liga TV, Premier Sports and other networks across the globe.