Arsenal vs Burnley prediction 11.11.2023

Arsenal

Arsenal

3 : 1

Burnley

Burnley

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 11th November 2023
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)

Last season, Arsenal finally had the chance to dethrone Manchester City, but with a poor end of the season, they blew the opportunity. Over the Summer, the Gunners further improved the roster and again look like a contender. In November, they lost two games, including a Carabao Cup game vs West Ham, but that is not necessarily bad because they can focus on more important prizes - the Champions League and the Premier League. At the moment, Arsenal are at the top of their group in the Champions League, and in the Premier League, they are 4th with only three points away from the top spot. 

After a dominant last season in the Championship, no one expected such a bad start for Burnley. Right now, the Clarets are 19th with only four points in 11 rounds and were also eliminated by the Carabao Cup by Everton pretty easily (3:0). Looking at the last few games, it seems the Clarets are only looking worse as the season progresses and will have a tough job of escaping relegation. 

Arsenal vs Burnley pick: Arsenal to win and cover the -2 AH spread

Arsenal were great this season if we exclude two games in November vs West Ham and Newcastle. Still, they bounced with a comfortable win (2:0) vs Sevilla in the Champions League, where they simply dominated the Spanish team. 

At Emirates Stadium, Arsenal played excellently the entire season and still haven't lost in eight matches. But lately, they are looking great as they won three in a row, including a 1:0 win over Manchester City. Also, in those three home games, the Gunners kept a clean sheet every time, and the Clarets will have a challenging task of scoring in this match. 

Burnely are in terrible form! They lost five in a row, with an atrocious goal difference of 2:14. And to be fair, they had a pretty easy schedule in that stretch. The offense has been a massive problem, and they are currently the worst offensive team in the league, with only eight scored goals.

Arsenal generally plays great vs weaker teams and have already won 5:0 and 4:0 vs the other two teams in the relegation zone (Sheffield United and Bournemouth). Considering that, and everything the above, anything but a big win for the Gunners would be a surprise. 

Best bookmakers for Arsenal vs Burnley match

Arsenal vs Burnley Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    0 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    0 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Arsenal

Arsenal team news

Five players who already missed the previous games will miss the upcoming as well: Gabriel Jesus, Martin Odegaard, Emile Smith Rowe, Jurrien Timber, and Thomas Partey.

Eddie Nketiah missed the previous game with an injury, but according to English media, he could be ready for the Burnley game. If he is also out, we will most likely see Leandro Trossard up front, as in the game vs Sevilla. 

Bukayo Saka suffered a minor injury against Sevilla, but coach Arteta says it is nothing serious and the young winger will be ready for the upcoming match. 

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Luton Town F.C.

    3 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    6 : 0

    RC Lens

    Champions League

  4. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 4

    Ben White

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 6

    Magalhaes Gabriel

  • 18

    Takehiro Tomiyasu

Midfielders

  • 41

    Declan Rice

  • 20

    Jorginho

  • 29

    Kai Havertz

Forwards

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 14

    Eddie Nketiah

  • 11

    Martinelli

Burnley

Burnley team news

Michael Obafemi, Hjamar Ekdal, Benson Manuel, and Aaron Ramsey will remain sidelined with injuries. Also, Lyle Foster, who is out with an illness, will most likely miss the game since there hasn't been improvement in recent days. 

Additionally, Ameen Al Dakhil, who missed the previous game due to a knock, is questionable for the Arsenal game.

One of the team's best midfielders, Josh Cullen, served his suspension in the previous game vs Crystal Place and should be back in the starting lineup.

James Trafford - England U21 star

Last matches of Burnley

  1. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    1 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    5 : 0

    Sheffield United

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    1 : 2

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  5. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    James Trafford

Defenders

  • 22

    Vitinho

  • 5

    Louis Beyer

  • 2

    Dara O'Shea

  • 3

    Charlie Taylor

Midfielders

  • 24

    Josh Cullen

  • 16

    Sander Berge

  • 8

    Josh Brownhill

Forwards

  • 7

    Johann Gudmundsson

  • 9

    Jay Rodriguez

  • 30

    Luca Koleosho

4 Reasons why Arsenal should win and cover the -2 AH spread

  1. Arsenal are undefeated at home
  2. Arsenal won the previous three home games with an 8:0 goal difference
  3. Burnley lost five in a row
  4. Burnley scored two goals in the previous five matches

Main prediction Arsenal - Burnley

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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25 votes

Yes 68%

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Additional predictions

BTTS - NO

Best odds:1.52

Team 1 to Win

Best odds:1.22

Over 2.5

Best odds:1.65

Arsenal & Burnley current standing in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 11 3 1 33 - 14 +19 36
2 Liverpool 15 10 4 1 34 - 14 +20 34
3 Aston Villa 15 10 2 3 34 - 20 +14 32
4 Manchester City 15 9 3 3 36 - 17 +19 30
5 Tottenham Hotspur 15 8 3 4 29 - 22 +7 27
6 Manchester United 15 9 0 6 18 - 18 0 27
7 Newcastle United 15 8 2 5 32 - 17 +15 26
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 15 7 4 4 32 - 27 +5 25
9 West Ham United 15 7 3 5 26 - 25 +1 24
10 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 - 24 +2 19
11 Brentford 15 5 4 6 23 - 21 +2 19
12 Fulham 15 5 3 7 21 - 26 -5 18
13 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 5 3 7 20 - 25 -5 18
14 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 14 - 21 -7 16
15 AFC Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 18 - 30 -12 16
16 Nottingham Forest 15 3 4 8 16 - 27 -11 13
17 Everton 15 6 2 7 18 - 20 -2 10
18 Luton Town 15 2 3 10 16 - 30 -14 9
19 Burnley 15 2 1 12 15 - 33 -18 7
20 Sheffield United 15 1 2 12 11 - 41 -30 5

Arsenal vs Burnley - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League this season is 1.66.

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How much is the average xG for Burnley this season?

The average xG for Burnley in the Premier League this season is 0.92.