Almeria vs Valencia prediction 23.09.2023

Almería

Almería

2 : 2

Valencia

Valencia

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 23rd September 2023
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)

Almeria waited seven years to return to the Spanish top-flight division. They succeeded in doing so in the 2021/22 season but barely secured survival the previous season, finishing 17th, just one point above the danger zone. This season, they once again look like one of the primary candidates for relegation. In the first five rounds, Almeria won just one point and currently sits at the bottom of the table. 

Valencia went from a constant top-four team to being one of the teams battling for relegation. Last season was one of their worst, finishing 16th - just one point above Almeria and two points above the danger zone. The 2023/24 season started much better for them by winning nine points in five rounds. 

Almeria vs Valencia pick: Both teams to score

Despite starting the season poorly with just one point in five rounds, Almeria rarely fails to score goals. The popular Rojiblancos were unable to score just once - in the first round vs Rayo Vallecano. But they deserved a goal in that match, too, as they had 60% ball possession and 1.49 xG. Almeria are generally a team that generates many goalscoring opportunities and, according to xG statistics, should score 1.51 goals per game in the first five matches. On the other hand, their defense have been terrible, allowing 11 goals. At the moment, they are one of the only three teams (along with Celta Vigo and Granada) that haven't had a clean sheet.

Valencia are coming off a huge 3:0 win over one of the best teams in Spain - Atletico Madrid. This season, they only once failed to score a goal in five rounds, so we feel they will most definitely score against a struggling Almeria. Also, on the road, Valencia have big problems with keeping their net intact. This season, they have zero clean sheets in two games vs Alaves and Sevilla, and last season, Valencia only had one in 19 rounds. 

In the previous season, these teams played two h2h games, with both teams scoring in those matches. Additionally, we have seen both teams scoring over the last six h2h games.

Almería vs Valencia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Almería

    2 : 2

    Valencia

    La Liga

  2. Almería

    2 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Valencia

    2 : 2

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. Almería

    2 : 3

    Valencia

    La Liga

  5. Valencia

    3 : 2

    Almería

    La Liga

Almería

Almeria team news

For the upcoming game, Almeria should have the entire squad available. The only player who is ruled out with an injury is Martin Svidersky, but he is not an essential part of the team. 

After a 2:1 loss to Villarreal, coach Vicente Moreno spoke to the media. He was disappointed with the result but said they created many goalscoring chances and had twice as many shots on the goal as Villarreal. "We have had chances to win, but this is about getting it right, and we are not having that success. The First Division teams penalize mistakes," the coach added.

Last matches of Almería

  1. Barbastro

    1 : 0

    Almería

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Almería

    0 : 0

    Real Betis

    La Liga

  3. Getafe

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. Almería

    1 : 3

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  5. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

Almería lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Luís Maximiano

Defenders

  • 21

    Chumi

  • 22

    César Montes

  • 3

    Edgar González

  • 15

    Sergio Akieme

Midfielders

  • 6

    Dion Lopy

  • 5

    Lucas Robertone

  • 10

    Adrián Embarba

  • 11

    Gonzalo Melero

  • 19

    Sergio Arribas

Forwards

  • 9

    Luis Javier Suárez

Valencia

Valencia team news

A starting central defender in the first three games this season, Gabriel Paulista, missed the previous two matches with a muscle injury and will most likely be out until early October. With him out, Cristhian Mosquera should start at the back with Mouctar Diakhaby. 

A backup right full-back, Dimitri Foulquier, could also miss the Almeria game with a muscle injury. For now, he is listed as questionable. Also, a backup striker, Alberto Mari, is ruled out with a thigh injury.

In one of his recent interviews, coach Ruben Baraja spoke about this season's goals. He said they have to be honest about themselves and acknowledge their situation. He also said he is aware the fans want the Champions League, but, according to him, that is completely unreal. "The minimum objective is to try to keep Valencia in the Primera Division. From there, we don't give up anything. We want to improve and make the team grow," the coach added.

Last matches of Valencia

  1. Arosa

    0 : 1

    Valencia

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Girona

    2 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Valencia

    0 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    5 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  5. Valencia

    1 : 0

    Granada

    La Liga

Valencia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Giorgi Mamardashvili

Defenders

  • 12

    Thierry Correia

  • 3

    Cristhian Mosquera

  • 4

    Mouctar Diakhaby

  • 14

    José Luis Gayà

Midfielders

  • 18

    Pepelu

  • 8

    Javier Guerra

  • 23

    Fran Pérez

  • 10

    André Almeida

  • 16

    Diego Lopez

Forwards

  • 9

    Hugo Duro

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Both teams scored in four of five Almeria games this season
  2. Valencia scored in four of five La Liga games this season
  3. Valencia failed to keep a clean sheet in two road La Liga games
  4. Both teams scored in the previous six h2h games

Main prediction Almería - Valencia

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.8

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

Nikola qq

Nikola qq

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19 votes

Yes 79%

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19 votes

No 21%

Additional predictions

Over 2.5

Best odds:2.01

Team 2 to Win

Best odds:2.55

Almería & Valencia current standing in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 33 - 9 +24 38
2 Girona 15 12 2 1 34 - 18 +16 38
3 FC Barcelona 15 10 4 1 28 - 14 +14 34
4 Atlético Madrid 14 10 1 3 30 - 13 +17 31
5 Athletic Club 15 8 4 3 30 - 18 +12 28
6 Real Sociedad 15 7 5 3 26 - 18 +8 26
7 Real Betis 15 6 7 2 18 - 16 +2 25
8 Las Palmas 15 6 3 6 13 - 13 0 21
9 Getafe 15 4 7 4 17 - 20 -3 19
10 Valencia 15 5 4 6 17 - 20 -3 19
11 Rayo Vallecano 15 4 7 4 16 - 22 -6 19
12 Villarreal 15 4 4 7 22 - 26 -4 16
13 Deportivo Alavés 15 4 4 7 14 - 19 -5 16
14 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 17 - 25 -8 15
15 Sevilla 14 2 7 5 20 - 20 0 13
16 Cádiz 15 2 6 7 12 - 22 -10 12
17 Mallorca 15 1 8 6 13 - 20 -7 11
18 Celta de Vigo 15 1 6 8 15 - 25 -10 9
19 Granada 15 1 4 10 19 - 35 -16 7
20 Almería 15 0 4 11 16 - 37 -21 4

Almeria vs Valencia - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How many goals should Almeria score at home, according to xG statistics?

Almeria should score 1.94 goals.

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How many goals should Valencia score on the road, according to xG statistics?

Valencia should score 1.14 goals.